Pastandpossible
The future leaves traces in the past.
We collect evidence from the past and signals from the present to build scenarios for the future. Every forecast states its sources, date, horizon and what could prove it wrong.
What we’re watching now
Evidence and precedents for changes that affect us.
From the present to the past. From the past to possible futures.
Our question: when something similar happened before, what followed?
How it works- 01ObserveA current event and its indicators.
- 02FindPast cases with traceable sources.
- 03CompareContexts, outcomes and differences.
- 04ForecastA dated scenario to test.
Questions for today
Why is Gen Z drawn to gyms and wellness? What the evidence says
Is the renewed focus on exercise and food a response to uncertainty or a sign of prosperity? The evidence shows strong sports participation, but also gaps and social differences.
Read the analysis →From the 1973 oil shock to diesel in 2026: what happens next?
A high pump price alone does not bring back car-free Sundays. We compare the 1973 supply shock with today’s diesel price and set out a testable scenario through 31 December 2026.
Read the scenario →Every forecast leaves a record.
We preserve sources and versions. Results will be compared with outcomes at the stated deadline.
Explore the archiveAccuracy rates will follow retrospective validation.
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